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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Austin
3 - 2
Kansas

Obrian (28', 39'), Driussi (46')
Cascante (23'), Kolmanic (70'), Pereira (89'), Valencia (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Russell (19'), Davis (63')
Fontas (88'), Radoja (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 1-0 Houston
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 1-2 Houston
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas City

Austin have been brilliant at home in their recent outings and are now on the verge of breaking their record for most successive wins at home since joining the MLS, and we believe they will do just that with a victory against an out-of-sorts Kansas. This fixture has provided plenty of goals in their recent meetings, and we expect that theme to continue in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
42.33% (0.394 0.39) 24.19% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 33.47% (-0.407 -0.41)
Both teams to score 60.04% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.58% (-0.16 -0.16)42.41% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.17% (-0.159 -0.16)64.82% (0.155 0.16)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (0.107 0.11)20.22% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (0.174 0.17)52.54% (-0.178 -0.18)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-0.31 -0.31)24.73% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (-0.435 -0.43)59.28% (0.43 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 42.33%
    Sporting Kansas City 33.48%
    Draw 24.18%
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.48%

Head to Head
Jul 16, 2023 2.30am
Austin
2-1
Kansas
Zardes (17'), Finlay (19')
Cascante (59')
Rosero (33')
Fontas (8'), Vermes (9'), Davis (53')
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Kansas
4-1
Austin
Pulido (19', 57'), Castellanos (47'), Shelton (89')
Radoja (61'), Thommy (87')
Driussi (61')
Cascante (52'), Zardes (60')
Aug 14, 2022 2am
Austin
4-3
Kansas
Gabrielsen (68'), Driussi (90+5')
Agade (86'), Salloi (88')
Jul 31, 2022 1.30am
Kansas
0-2
Austin

Duke (39'), Sweat (73')
Duke (43')
Ring (45+1'), Driussi (90')
Cascante (25'), Pereira (38'), Urruti (42')
Nov 4, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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