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Sporting Kansas
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Children's Mercy Park
Houston Dynamo

Kansas
1 - 2
Houston

Salloi (61')
Rodriguez (45'), Fontas (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Herrera (31'), Ibrahim (78')
Kowalczyk (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 1-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo have struggled in front of goal recently, but we can see them getting on the scoresheet in this one. That said, we are also backing the home side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Kansas CityDrawHouston Dynamo
46.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.69% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 29.1% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)46.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)68.86% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)20.24% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)52.57% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)29.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.63% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Kansas City 46.2%
    Houston Dynamo 29.11%
    Draw 24.69%
Sporting Kansas CityDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 29.11%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 1.30am
Houston
1-1
Kansas
Segal (69')
Olsen (58')
Thommy (61')
Russell (57'), Thommy (67')
Nov 27, 2023 12am
Sep 24, 2023 1.30am
Kansas
2-1
Houston
Russell (7' pen.), Agade (45+6')
Radoja (34'), Vermes (35'), Thommy (73'), Rosero (88'), Salloi (90+6')
Russell (39')
Hadebe (45+9')
B (0'), Escobar (45+1'), Dorsey (74'), Caicedo (83')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Kansas
Ibrahim (45+2'), Franco (90+8')
Ulfarsson (49'), Herrera (50'), Ferreira (90+10')
Pulido (25', 62')
Rosero (65'), Leibold (90+11')
Sep 11, 2022 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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