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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Austin
1 - 0
Houston

Driussi (87')
Cascante (31'), Gallagher (90'), Fodrey (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dorsey (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Austin
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 1-2 Houston
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-1 Houston Dynamo

Austin knows they have to quickly bounce back from defeat in their last match and they will feel this is a perfect opportunity for that against a side they have beaten in all the four times they have hosted this fixture. We expect a home win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Austin FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Austin FC.

Result
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
43.98% (-0.638 -0.64) 24.83% (-0.446 -0.45) 31.19% (1.083 1.08)
Both teams to score 56.85% (2.041 2.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.8% (2.42 2.42)46.2% (-2.419 -2.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.51% (2.243 2.24)68.49% (-2.243 -2.24)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (0.724 0.72)21.06% (-0.723 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.13% (1.118 1.12)53.87% (-1.117 -1.12)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.02% (1.944 1.94)27.98% (-1.944 -1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38% (2.411 2.41)63.62% (-2.411 -2.41)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 43.98%
    Houston Dynamo 31.19%
    Draw 24.83%
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.755 -0.76)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.42 -0.42)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.212 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.626 -0.63)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.289 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.359 -0.36)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.215 0.22)
0-2 @ 4.78% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.253 0.25)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.246 0.25)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.121 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.19%

How you voted: Austin vs Houston

Austin FC
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Houston Dynamo
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 1.30am
Houston
0-1
Austin

Kowalczyk (28'), Carrasquilla (37'), Artur (45+3'), Ferreira (77')
Rigoni (86')
Driussi (87'), Zardes (90+3')
Jun 25, 2023 2.30am
Austin
3-0
Houston
Finlay (22'), Zardes (32'), Cascante (50')
Gallagher (39'), Wolff (45'), Pereira (68'), Lima (75'), Cascante (77')

Sviatchenko (31'), Artur (45+5'), Herrera (77')
May 28, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-1
Austin
Herrera (37'), Franco (87')
Quinones (67'), Micael (90+3')
Zardes (22')
Cascante (30')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
Jul 13, 2022 2am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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