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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.45am UK
MAPFRE Stadium
FC Cincinnati

Columbus Crew
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Arfsten (89')
Zawadzki (38'), Camacho (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelsy (74'), Acosta (76')
Miazga (34'), Kubo (37'), Nwobodo (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 1-3 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 2 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Orlando City 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-0 FC Cincinnati

Columbus' record in this fixture coupled with their home form makes them huge favourites to come out on top here. We are backing the hosts to secure maximum points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
53.62% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 22.61%23.77% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.28% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)41.54% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)63.94% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.49% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)44.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)31.04% (0.052000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)67.35% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 53.62%
    FC Cincinnati 23.77%
    Draw 22.61%
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.97% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.08%
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06%
5-0 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 53.62%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.81% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.61%
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 23.77%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Cincinnati

Columbus Crew
25.0%
Draw
37.5%
FC Cincinnati
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
2-3
Columbus Crew
Vazquez (14'), Acosta (45+3')
Acosta (73'), Badji (82'), Vazquez (99'), Mosquera (117')
Powell (75' og.), Rossi (86'), Ramirez (115')
Moreira (45+2'), Gressel (120+1')
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-2
Columbus Crew
Acosta (17', 23' pen.), Moreno (67')
Miazga (63')
Zelarayan (40'), Amundsen (52')
Amundsen (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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