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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.05am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
DC United

Inter Miami
1 - 0
DC United

Campana (90+4')
Rojas (30'), Campana (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Birnbaum (20'), Benteke (26'), McVey (48'), Klich (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 1-2 DC United

If Messi cannot go as anticipated, the Herons could have difficulty creating some dangerous scoring opportunities, as we saw in their midweek affair. Whether he plays or not, Miami have not proven to be consistently strong at the back, and they will be facing one of the deadliest strikers in the league in Christian Benteke, who we believe will make the difference for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 56.13%. A win for DC United had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawDC United
56.13% (-6.704 -6.7) 21.52% (2.383 2.38) 22.34% (4.312 4.31)
Both teams to score 60.27% (-1.363 -1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.93% (-5.048 -5.05)38.06% (5.039 5.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.66% (-5.587 -5.59)60.33% (5.577 5.58)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.5% (-3.395 -3.4)13.49% (3.385 3.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48% (-7.262 -7.26)40.51% (7.252 7.25)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (1.107 1.11)30.32% (-1.118 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (1.307 1.31)66.5% (-1.317 -1.32)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 56.13%
    DC United 22.34%
    Draw 21.52%
Inter MiamiDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.138 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.914 0.91)
3-1 @ 6.54% (-0.84 -0.84)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.897 -0.9)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.367 -0.37)
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.954 -0.95)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.911 -0.91)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.493 -0.49)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.628 -0.63)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.576 -0.58)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 56.13%
1-1 @ 9.78% (1.354 1.35)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.257 0.26)
0-0 @ 4.09% (0.915 0.92)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.96 0.96)
0-1 @ 4.88% (1.206 1.21)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.786 0.79)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.44 0.44)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.338 0.34)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 22.34%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs DC United

Inter Miami
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
DC United
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 6pm
DC United
1-3
Inter Miami
Stroud (14')
McVey (21'), Pirani (27'), Herrera (34'), Peltola (68'), Klich (74')
Santos (90')
Campana (24'), Suarez (72', 85')
Aviles (28'), Busquets (55'), Gomez (79')
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
DC United
2-2
Inter Miami
Fountas (65'), Robertha (77')
Rodrigo Asad (17'), Fountas (70'), Pines (90')
Cremaschi (59'), Allen (68')
Arroyo (2'), Krivtsov (45+6'), Ruiz (90+4')
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami
1-2
DC United
Fray (90+2')
Jean (12'), Fray (71'), Campana (81'), Yedlin (89')
Miller (7')
Pines (76'), Benteke (90')
Santos (12'), Benteke (45+1')
Sep 18, 2022 10pm
May 15, 2022 2.15am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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