Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 52.13%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
52.13% ( 0.03) | 23.41% ( 0.01) | 24.46% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.36% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.55% ( -0.08) | 44.44% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.18% ( -0.07) | 66.82% ( 0.07) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.94% ( -0.02) | 17.06% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.77% ( -0.03) | 47.23% ( 0.02) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.96% ( -0.08) | 32.04% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.49% ( -0.09) | 68.51% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 3.95% Total : 52.13% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 24.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |