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DC United
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
New York Red Bulls

DC United
1 - 4
NY Red Bulls

Bartlett (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Manoel (45+2'), Harper (52'), Morgan (57'), Burke (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 2-3 DC United
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-2 New England
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 2-2 New York Red Bulls

Both these sides have been in good goal-scoring from this season and are coming off positive results over the weekend. Based on recent form, this looks like a very even match on paper, and we feel there will be nothing to separate the sides at the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 52.13%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.13% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 23.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.46% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.36% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)44.44% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)66.82% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)17.06% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)47.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)32.04% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)68.51% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    DC United 52.13%
    New York Red Bulls 24.46%
    Draw 23.41%
DC UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.55% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 52.13%
1-1 @ 11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 24.46%

How you voted: DC United vs NY Red Bulls

DC United
41.7%
Draw
16.7%
New York Red Bulls
41.7%
12
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 12.30am
DC United
3-5
NY Red Bulls
Benteke (21', 36', 45+2' pen.)
Canouse (25'), Hines-Ike (55'), Benteke (83')
Fernandez (17', 44'), Harper (45+5'), Nealis (58'), Tolkin (90+3')
Duncan (64'), Nealis (66')
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-0
DC United
Tolkin (88')
Yearwood (44'), Reyes (78'), Duncan (82')

Durkin (36'), Williams (54')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
May 29, 2022 12am
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 42
DC United
1-0
NY Red Bulls
Paredes (9')
Moreno (36'), Najar (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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