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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
Atlanta United

Orlando City
1 - 1
Atlanta

Smith (30')
Carlos (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wolff (86')
Hernandez (66'), Rossetto (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-3 Atlanta
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-1 Atlanta United

Both sides are in similar veins of form, so we do not think there will be a great deal to separate the sides on Sunday. Orlando have been poor at home this season, while Atlanta are on a six-game winless run on the road, so we think the sides will share the spoils.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
42.92% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 25% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 32.08% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.68% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (-0.052 -0.05)46.6% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)68.87% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)21.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)54.88% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)27.61% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)63.14% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 42.92%
    Atlanta United 32.08%
    Draw 25%
Orlando CityDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.08%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Atlanta

Orlando City
52.9%
Draw
38.2%
Atlanta United
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 11.55pm
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
1-1
Orlando City
Sanchez (71')
Sejdic (45+1'), McFadden (59'), Araujo (90')
Pereyra (10')
Urso (36'), Pereyra (69'), Michel (73'), Ruan (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 12am
gameweek 29
Atlanta
3-0
Orlando City
Campbell (25'), Dike (38' og.), Barco (72')
Franco (34'), Campbell (45+1'), Sosa (81')

Carlos (37')
Jul 31, 2021 1am
gameweek 20
Orlando City
3-2
Atlanta
Smith (43'), Van der Water (79'), Nani (87')
Perea (64')
Martinez (1'), Moreno (66')
Franco (86')
Apr 17, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto177372626024
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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