Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%).
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
50.77% ( 0.1) | 24.05% ( -0.04) | 25.17% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.01% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.4% ( 0.13) | 46.6% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.13% ( 0.11) | 68.87% ( -0.12) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.62% ( 0.09) | 18.38% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.48% ( 0.14) | 49.51% ( -0.14) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% ( 0.02) | 32.61% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% ( 0.02) | 69.15% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
1-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.77% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |