Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Spezia |
49.27% | 24.69% | 26.03% |
Both teams to score 53.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.37% | 48.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.26% | 70.74% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.23% | 19.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.19% | 51.81% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.01% | 32.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.42% | 69.57% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.9% Total : 49.27% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.23% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.46% Total : 26.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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