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Walsall
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Banks's Stadium
Swindon Town

Walsall
2 - 0
Swindon

Johnson (80' pen.), Abraham (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Adeloye (81'), Harries (85'), Darcy (90+5')
Minturn (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Walsall and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Walsall 1-2 Swindon Town

Both managers will likely take the opportunity to make numerous changes to their starting lineups, something which could make their league form irrelevant. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to come through with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Walsall win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
WalsallDrawSwindon Town
21.35%22.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 55.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.95% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)45.06% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)35.17% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)71.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05%15.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76%45.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 21.35%
    Swindon Town 55.88%
    Draw 22.78%
WalsallDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 5.87%
2-1 @ 5.62%
2-0 @ 3.06%
3-1 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 21.35%
1-1 @ 10.76%
0-0 @ 5.61%
2-2 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.78%
0-1 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-2 @ 9.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.04%
0-3 @ 5.78%
2-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 2.77%
0-4 @ 2.65%
2-4 @ 1.45%
1-5 @ 1.02%
0-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 55.88%

How you voted: Walsall vs Swindon

Walsall
40.0%
Draw
30.0%
Swindon Town
30.0%
10
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 3pm
Walsall
0-3
Swindon

Daniels (45+2'), Monthe (73')
McKirdy (3'), Payne (25', 45+3')
Williams (54'), Reed (70')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Swindon
5-0
Walsall
Barry (36', 64'), Aguiar (45+2', 56'), Williams (71')

Menayese (55'), Monthe (87')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Walsall
1-2
Swindon
Osadebe (37')
White (42'), Monthe (56'), Khan (89')
Simpson (16'), Kesler (67')
McKirdy (48'), Reed (50')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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