Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.78%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Atlanta United |
53.78% ( -0.14) | 22.6% ( 0.25) | 23.62% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 58.15% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.36% ( -1.3) | 41.63% ( 1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.97% ( -1.32) | 64.03% ( 1.32) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.53% ( -0.5) | 15.47% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.66% ( -0.94) | 44.34% ( 0.94) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.79% ( -0.81) | 31.21% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.44% ( -0.95) | 67.55% ( 0.95) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.78% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 23.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |