Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Brighton1 - 0Marseille
The Match
Match Report
Brighton & Hove Albion secure top spot in Group B of the Europa League by beating Marseille thanks to a 88th-minute winner from Joao Pedro.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Lorient 2-4 Marseille
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Marseille |
51.01% ( -0.01) | 22.92% ( 0) | 26.06% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.25% ( -0) | 40.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.86% ( -0) | 63.14% ( 0) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.89% ( -0.01) | 16.11% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.48% ( -0.01) | 45.52% ( 0.01) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.21% ( 0) | 28.79% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.36% ( 0.01) | 64.64% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion 51.01%
Marseille 26.06%
Draw 22.92%
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Marseille |
2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.01% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 3.43% Total : 26.06% |
How you voted: Brighton vs Marseille
Brighton & Hove Albion
45.1%Draw
24.2%Marseille
30.8%91
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-16 16:50:32
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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