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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Real Madrid logo

Atletico
1 - 0
Real Madrid

Carrasco (40' pen.)
Llorente (37'), Savic (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jovic (20'), Vazquez (28'), Vallejo (38'), Ancelotti (67'), Nacho (71')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Sunday's La Liga clash with city rivals Atletico Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League
Next Game: Real Madrid vs. Frankfurt
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-2 Real Madrid

While there is an element of pressure on both Madrid teams to win considering that bragging rights are on the line, there is more riding on this fixture for Atletico as defeat on Sunday could potentially see them slip out of the top four. Real are on a real high after enjoying a historic week, and even if they opt to rest one or two star names, we expect the visitors to come out on top at the Wanda Metropolitano. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
38.27% (-1.283 -1.28) 25.87% (-0.211 -0.21) 35.87% (1.493 1.49)
Both teams to score 54.65% (0.914 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (1.084 1.08)49.62% (-1.085 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (0.965 0.97)71.64% (-0.96499999999999 -0.96)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)25.4% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (-0.27 -0.27)60.2% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (1.416 1.42)26.75% (-1.417 -1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (1.835 1.84)62.02% (-1.835 -1.83)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 38.27%
    Real Madrid 35.87%
    Draw 25.86%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.473 -0.47)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.362 -0.36)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.27%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.209 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.241 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.19 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.153 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 35.87%

How you voted: Atletico vs Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid
27.1%
Draw
17.6%
Real Madrid
55.3%
255
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Atletico
Benzema (16'), Asensio (57')
Mendy (45+1'), Alaba (88')

Felipe (36'), Kondogbia (75'), Suarez (88')
Mar 7, 2021 3.15pm
Atletico
1-1
Real Madrid
Suarez (15')
Carrasco (64'), Correa (72'), Felix (80'), Savic (90'), Llorente (90+2')
Benzema (88')
Varane (67')
Dec 12, 2020 8pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Atletico
Casemiro (15'), Oblak (63' og.)
Casemiro (36')

Lemar (46'), Correa (50'), Savic (61')
Jan 12, 2020 6pm
Real Madrid
0-0
Atletico
Real Madrid win 4-1 on penalties
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico36234967392873
5Athletic Bilbao361711858372162
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia35139133739-248
10Getafe361013134151-1043
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla361011154750-341
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Rayo Vallecano36814142944-1538
15Celta Vigo36910174254-1237
16Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
17Mallorca36715142941-1236
18CadizCadiz36614162549-2432
RGranada3649233770-3321
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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