Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.51%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.1%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
15.07% | 25.23% | 59.7% |
Both teams to score 37.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.66% | 62.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.01% | 81.99% |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.15% | 52.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.45% | 86.55% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% | 21.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.19% | 53.81% |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.09% 2-1 @ 3.52% 2-0 @ 2.26% Other @ 2.2% Total : 15.07% | 0-0 @ 11.1% 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 2.75% Other @ 0.32% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 17.32% 0-2 @ 13.51% 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-3 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-4 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.83% Total : 59.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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