Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
32.27% ( 1.23) | 27.59% ( -0.55) | 40.14% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 48.49% ( 1.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.86% ( 2.3) | 57.14% ( -2.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.99% ( 1.8) | 78.01% ( -1.8) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.22% ( 2.09) | 32.77% ( -2.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.67% ( 2.26) | 69.33% ( -2.26) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% ( 0.73) | 27.86% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.53% ( 0.92) | 63.46% ( -0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.26% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.83) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.3) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.81) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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