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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Valencia logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Valencia

Isi (5'), Gonzalez (52' og.)
Balliu (21'), Isi (35'), Dimitrievski (62'), Comesana (63'), Trejo (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diakhaby (90+3')
Musah (68'), Correia (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia

Five of the last seven La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we are backing another draw here. Valencia will be full of confidence due to their strong win last time out, but we believe that Rayo have enough quality to secure a point in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawValencia
40.59% (-0.224 -0.22) 28.2% (0.087 0.09) 31.2% (0.136 0.14)
Both teams to score 46.41% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.39% (-0.275 -0.27)59.6% (0.272 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06% (-0.212 -0.21)79.93% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (-0.259 -0.26)28.79% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (-0.323 -0.32)64.63% (0.321 0.32)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)34.82% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)71.56% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 40.59%
    Valencia 31.2%
    Draw 28.19%
Rayo VallecanoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 12.48% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.02% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.2%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia

Rayo Vallecano
18.3%
Draw
26.0%
Valencia
55.8%
104
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2022 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Valencia
Guardiola (83')
Lopez (5'), Balliu (90+3'), Catena (90+9')
Soler (57')
Moriba (8'), Duro (42'), Maranhao (74'), Correia (90+9')
Nov 27, 2021 3.15pm
Valencia
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Soler (19' pen.)
Soler (27'), Diakhaby (45'), Alderete (45+2'), Gaya (55'), Foulquier (62'), Wass (68')
Isi (64')
Saveljich (18'), Comesana (54'), Isi (55'), Catena (73'), Valentin (75')
Apr 6, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 24, 2018 3.15pm
Valencia
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
Mina (35', 61'), Gameiro (76')
Diakhaby (28'), Soler (74')

Advincula (22'), Comesana (41'), Galvez (51')
Advincula (87')
Jan 17, 2016 11am
Valencia
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Negredo (55'), Alcacer (88')
Alcacer (87')
Sanchez (15'), Llorente (69')
Llorente (19'), Ruz Quini (78'), Bangoura (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico36234967392873
5Athletic Bilbao361711858372162
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia35139133739-248
10Getafe361013134151-1043
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla361011154750-341
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Rayo Vallecano36814142944-1538
15Celta Vigo36910174254-1237
16Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
17Mallorca36715142941-1236
18CadizCadiz36614162549-2432
RGranada3649233770-3321
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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