Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
66.95% | 20.39% | 12.66% |
Both teams to score 44.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.32% | 49.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.3% | 71.7% |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.07% | 13.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.6% | 41.4% |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.14% | 48.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.15% | 83.85% |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 13.41% 2-0 @ 13.22% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 6.22% 4-0 @ 4.28% 4-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.23% 5-0 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.37% Total : 66.94% | 1-1 @ 9.61% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 3.39% Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.39% | 0-1 @ 4.88% 1-2 @ 3.44% 0-2 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.59% Total : 12.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |