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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
Philadelphia Union

Nashville
1 - 2
Philadelphia

Surridge (42')
Godoy (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carranza (62'), Gazdag (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 0-2 Philadelphia Union

The Boys in Gold look disorganised defensively, and they are coming up against a Union side that are finding their form in the attacking third, which we believe will spell trouble for the home side this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.5% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.24%31.25% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 55.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.02% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.34%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)28.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)64.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 43.5%
    Philadelphia Union 31.26%
    Draw 25.23%
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.89%
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.26%

How you voted: Nashville vs Philadelphia

Nashville SC
0.0%
Draw
28.6%
Philadelphia Union
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
0-2
Philadelphia

Lovitz (39'), Leal (43'), Bunbury (71')
Lovitz (81'), Moore (90+5')
Gazdag (40' pen., 84')
Curtin (40'), Wagner (44'), Gazdag (84')
Carranza (90+5')
May 1, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 3
Nashville
1-1
Philadelphia
Leal (85' pen.)
Lovitz (33'), Muyl (37'), Davis (49'), Leal (76')
Uhre (66')
Wagner (60'), Andres Martinez (62'), Blake (84')
Nov 28, 2021 10.30pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Nashville
Philadelphia win 2-0 on penalties
Gazdag (45+2')
Williams (38')
Leal (90+5')
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136251617-120
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Orlando City123451420-613
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
12Nashville SCNashville122641419-512
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake136522011923
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321812621
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622420421
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342319421
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125431813519
6Colorado RapidsColorado135442018219
7Houston DynamoHouston125341111018
8Austin FCAustin134541515017
9St Louis City123721816216
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133551514114
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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