Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
66.13% ( 0.19) | 20.08% ( -0.08) | 13.79% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 48.06% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.07% ( 0.09) | 45.93% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.76% ( 0.08) | 68.24% ( -0.08) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.99% ( 0.08) | 13.01% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.45% ( 0.17) | 39.55% ( -0.17) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.25% ( -0.12) | 44.75% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.27% ( -0.09) | 80.73% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Elche |
2-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 66.12% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.08% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.3% Total : 13.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
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