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Nashville
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
First Tennessee Park
Atlanta United

Nashville
1 - 1
Atlanta

Williams (40' pen.)
Surridge (45+3'), Bauer (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Slisz (56')
Guzan (37'), Rode Gregersen (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 3-1 Atlanta United

Despite the close proximity in the table, these two teams have been in contrasting form of late. With Nashville on an upward curve and with home advantage, we are backing them to come through this contest in relatively convincing fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawAtlanta United
53.66% (2.345 2.35) 22.73% (-0.453 -0.45) 23.6% (-1.896 -1.9)
Both teams to score 57.66% (-0.583 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (0.2 0.2)42.26% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (0.198 0.2)64.67% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (0.89700000000001 0.9)15.73% (-0.903 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.17% (1.633 1.63)44.82% (-1.637 -1.64)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (-1.44 -1.44)31.57% (1.435 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (-1.691 -1.69)67.97% (1.686 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 53.66%
    Atlanta United 23.6%
    Draw 22.73%
Nashville SCDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.121 0.12)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.195 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.429 0.43)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.253 0.25)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.415 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.197 0.2)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.259 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.362 -0.36)
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.304 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.239 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 23.6%

How you voted: Nashville vs Atlanta

Nashville SC
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Atlanta United
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
4-0
Nashville
Silva (26'), Almada (46'), Robinson (57'), Lobzhanidze (87')
Muyumba (34'), Pineda (35'), Wolff (66')
Apr 29, 2023 6.30pm
Nashville
3-1
Atlanta
Picault (36'), Bunbury (56'), Shaffelburg (90+1')
Almada (72' pen.)
May 22, 2022 12.30am
Aug 28, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Atlanta
0-2
Nashville

Barco (37'), Sejdic (61')
Rios (45+2'), Leal (90+5')
Lovitz (26'), Anunga (75'), Leal (90+6')
Jul 9, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 15
Nashville
2-2
Atlanta
Anibaba (14'), Williams (49' pen.)
Leal (28'), Haakenson (82'), McCarty (89')
Walkes (5'), Conway (59')
Wolff (39'), Sosa (44'), Torres (47'), Moreno (67')
Mulraney (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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