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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Cincinnati
6 - 0
Earthquakes

Barreal (45'), Brenner (47', 90', 90+5' pen.), Acosta (71' pen.), Kubo (77')
Cameron (57'), Brenner (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Monteiro (8'), Cardoso (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Cincinnati
Thursday, September 8 at 1am in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

Last Six:
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-0 Vancouver
Monday, September 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes

 Both teams play aggressively with plenty of attacking intent, so we expect they will each have their share of scoring opportunities and be able to find the back of the net, given the calibre of strikers each team possesses. The Orange and Blue have been more consistent this year and have a little more attacking depth than their opponents, which should compensate for their defensive deficiencies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
47.89% (0.673 0.67) 23.73% (-0.114 -0.11) 28.38% (-0.564 -0.56)
Both teams to score 58.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27% (0.155 0.16)42.73% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86% (0.154 0.15)65.13% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (0.324 0.32)18.02% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1% (0.559 0.56)48.9% (-0.564 -0.56)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (-0.31200000000001 -0.31)28.14% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-0.395 -0.39)63.82% (0.391 0.39)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 47.89%
    San Jose Earthquakes 28.38%
    Draw 23.73%
FC CincinnatiDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.69% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.45% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 47.89%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 28.38%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Earthquakes

FC Cincinnati
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
San Jose Earthquakes
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2020 10pm
Cincinnati
P-P
Earthquakes
May 5, 2019 3am
Earthquakes
1-0
Cincinnati
Lima (22')
Salinas (13'), Espinoza (15'), Lima (29')
Espinoza (51')

Stanko (6'), Lasso (31'), Alashe (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010
> Full Version


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