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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
New York City
Major League Soccer
Sep 8, 2022 at 1am UK
Yankee Stadium
FC Cincinnati

NY City
1 - 1
Cincinnati

Pereira (41')
Pereira (43'), Acevedo (84'), Chanot (90+3')
Martins (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martins (22' og.)
Nwobodo (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

Last Six:
Last Game: New England 3-0 NY City
Monday, September 5 at 1am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 3-2 FC Cincinnati

 As poor as the defending champions have been lately, Cincinnati have not sorted out their defensive issues, and while Cincy are potent in the final third, they still look vulnerable on the back end. The Orange and Blue are an ideal opponent for a side like NYCFC, and as entertaining as Cincinnati have been throughout this year, they struggle to put matches away when the opportunity arises, which we believe will benefit the Pigeons on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 12.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
69.16% (0.658 0.66) 17.86% (-0.28 -0.28) 12.99% (-0.377 -0.38)
Both teams to score 53.47% (-0.118 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.38% (0.402 0.4)37.62% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.14% (0.427 0.43)59.86% (-0.427 -0.43)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.16% (0.268 0.27)9.84% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.34% (0.61799999999999 0.62)32.66% (-0.617 -0.62)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.31% (-0.307 -0.31)40.69% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (-0.276 -0.28)77.28% (0.277 0.28)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 69.16%
    FC Cincinnati 12.99%
    Draw 17.86%
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 10.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.32% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.82% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 4.34% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.24% (0.086 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.01% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.02 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.9% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 69.16%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.01% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.86%
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-1 @ 3.6% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 12.99%

How you voted: NY City vs Cincinnati

New York City FC
63.6%
Draw
20.5%
FC Cincinnati
15.9%
44
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
4-4
NY City
Acosta (15'), Brenner (24', 30', 70')
Nwobodo (57'), Cruz (62'), Brenner (90')
Magno (45'), Heber (45+2', 45+7'), Pereira (52')
Haak (31'), Callens (31')
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY City
Brenner (4')
Cameron (48'), Barreal (74')
Barreal (85'), Atanga (90+5')
Parks (37'), Castellanos (60' pen.)
Tajouri (26'), Morales (69'), Jasson (77'), Johnson (83'), Callens (90+7'), Callens (90+7')
Apr 24, 2021 6pm
NY City
5-0
Cincinnati
Medina (7', 83'), Hagglund (53' og.), Thorarinsson (57'), Castellanos (67')
Thorarinsson (50'), Castellanos (60')

Harris (10'), Cruz (56')
Sep 27, 2020 12am
NY City
4-0
Cincinnati
Mitrita (1', 43'), Tinnerholm (25'), Medina (88')
Callens (34'), Matarrita (61'), Castellanos (78')

Waston (64'), Medunjanin (71')
Sep 13, 2020 12am
NY City
2-1
Cincinnati
Ring (39'), Tinnerholm (55')
Sands (78'), Chanot (84')
Vazquez (74')
Waston (52'), Deplagne (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010
> Full Version


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