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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Reliant Stadium
St Louis City

Houston
0 - 0
St Louis City


Jackson (85')
FT

Schmitt (74'), Ostrak (74'), Jackson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-0 Houston
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 3-3 St Louis City
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 3-1 St Louis City

While they have improved in many areas of the field, St Louis still allow their share of scoring opportunities, and that could benefit the Dynamo on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawSt Louis City
67.45% (-0.404 -0.4) 18.76% (0.159 0.16) 13.78% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 52.52% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.99% (-0.169 -0.17)40.01% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.62% (-0.174 -0.17)62.37% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.07% (-0.151 -0.15)10.92% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.89% (-0.334 -0.33)35.11% (0.333 0.33)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (0.252 0.25)41.04% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (0.223 0.22)77.59% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 67.45%
    St Louis City 13.78%
    Draw 18.76%
Houston DynamoDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.99% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.49% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 67.45%
1-1 @ 8.84% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.76%
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.94% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.78% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 13.78%

How you voted: Houston vs St Louis City

Houston Dynamo
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
St Louis City
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2024 3.30am
First Round 2nd Leg
Houston
1-0
St Louis City
Sviatchenko (60')
Escobar (90+3')

Nerwinski (42'), Wentzel (90')
Feb 21, 2024 1am
First Round 1st Leg
St Louis City
2-1
Houston
Parker (61'), Kijima (90')
Kowalczyk (72')
Clark (21'), Dorsey (88'), Segal (90+2')
Sep 17, 2023 1.30am
Houston
1-1
St Louis City
Baird (42')
Sviatchenko (8'), Escobar (22'), Herrera (25'), Carrasquilla (61')
Klauss (88')
Blom (34'), Parker (90+5')
Jun 4, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City
3-0
Houston
Lowen (9' pen.), Ostrak (51'), Gioacchini (83' pen.)
Blom (45+5'), Jackson (69'), Alm (90+1')

Carrasquilla (45+5'), Franco (45+7'), Caicedo (45+2'), Olsen (46'), Bartlow (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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