Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
56.4% ( 0.4) | 23.11% ( -0.16) | 20.49% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.44% ( 0.35) | 47.56% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% ( 0.32) | 69.76% ( -0.32) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.34% ( 0.27) | 16.66% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.48% ( 0.47) | 46.52% ( -0.47) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.55% ( -0.04) | 37.44% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.77% ( -0.04) | 74.23% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.09% Total : 56.39% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |