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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal Women
3 - 1
Zurich

Nobbs (38'), Hurtig (45+1', 78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Piubel (76')
Bernauer (36'), Riesen (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Arsenal Women and Zurich Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zurich 0-2 Juventus
Wednesday, October 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Arsenal Women 3-0 Zurich Women

After thrashing the European champions last week, we think that Arsenal will cruise to a sixth consecutive victory when they face Zurich on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Zurich Women had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Zurich Women win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawZurich Women
50.18% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 24.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.5% (-0.081 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)47.5% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-0.058 -0.06)69.71% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.96% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.51% (0.014000000000003 0.01)50.49% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Zurich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)32.82% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (-0.112 -0.11)69.39% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 50.17%
    Zurich Women 25.5%
    Draw 24.32%
Arsenal WomenDrawZurich Women
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 50.17%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.5%

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Zurich

Arsenal Women
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Zurich Women
0.0%
8
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
8Chelsea34149116559651
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
12Fulham36128165155-444
13Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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