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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Netherlands national football team
World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
Qatar national football team

Netherlands
2 - 0
Qatar

Gakpo (26'), de Jong (49')
Ake (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Netherlands cruise through to the last 16 of the World Cup with a 2-0 win over Qatar at the Al Bayt Stadium.

Team News

Memphis Depay makes his first start since September as Netherlands face Qatar in their final fixture in Group A.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup clash between Netherlands and Qatar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how tournament hosts Qatar could line up against Netherlands in their final match of the 2022 World Cup.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Netherlands 1-1 Ecuador
Friday, November 25 at 4pm in World Cup

Qatar

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Qatar 1-3 Senegal
Friday, November 25 at 1pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 73.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 10.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Netherlands in this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawQatar
73.3% (-0.785 -0.78) 16.54% (0.327 0.33) 10.15% (0.462 0.46)
Both teams to score 48.37% (0.667 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.7% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)39.3% (0.1 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.37% (-0.102 -0.1)61.63% (0.107 0.11)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.71% (-0.205 -0.2)9.29% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.63% (-0.49600000000001 -0.5)31.37% (0.5 0.5)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.32% (0.855 0.86)46.68% (-0.851 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.76% (0.645 0.65)82.24% (-0.642 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 73.3%
    Qatar 10.15%
    Draw 16.54%
NetherlandsDrawQatar
2-0 @ 12.24% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-0 @ 10.3% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 9.7% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.39%
4-0 @ 5.76% (-0.195 -0.2)
4-1 @ 4.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.067 0.07)
5-0 @ 2.74% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-1 @ 2.09% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.024 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.08% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 73.3%
1-1 @ 7.85% (0.149 0.15)
0-0 @ 4.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.55% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 16.54%
0-1 @ 3.3% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 2.99% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 1.26% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 10.15%

How you voted: Netherlands vs Qatar

Netherlands
84.4%
Draw
7.2%
Qatar
8.4%
570
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