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South Korea national football team
World Cup | Group Stage
Dec 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
Portugal national football team

South Korea
2 - 1
Portugal

Young-gwon (27'), Hee-chan (90+1')
Kang-in (36'), Hee-chan (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Horta (5')

The Match

Match Report

South Korea score a 91st-minute winner against Portugal to secure their spot in the knockout round of the 2022 World Cup in dramatic fashion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup clash between South Korea and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in their final World Cup Group H game with South Korea.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: South Korea 2-3 Ghana
Monday, November 28 at 1pm in World Cup
All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Portugal 2-0 Uruguay
Monday, November 28 at 7pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for South Korea had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest South Korea win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
South KoreaDrawPortugal
29.58% (0.194 0.19) 25.24% (-0.18 -0.18) 45.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.63% (0.696 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.28% (0.858 0.86)48.72% (-0.855 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.17% (0.772 0.77)70.83% (-0.77199999999999 -0.77)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (0.57599999999999 0.58)30.35% (-0.576 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (0.682 0.68)66.54% (-0.681 -0.68)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (0.35299999999999 0.35)21.57% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.35% (0.54 0.54)54.65% (-0.539 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 29.58%
    Portugal 45.18%
    Draw 25.24%
South KoreaDrawPortugal
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.14% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 29.58%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.233 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.098 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 10.04% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.7% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.18%

How you voted: South Korea vs Portugal

South Korea
31.5%
Draw
12.0%
Portugal
56.5%
1026
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1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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