Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Partick Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
36.4% ( 0.27) | 25.8% ( -0.01) | 37.8% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 54.93% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.71% ( 0.07) | 49.28% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.66% ( 0.06) | 71.34% ( -0.06) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.72% ( 0.19) | 26.28% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.6% ( 0.25) | 61.4% ( -0.25) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.5% ( -0.11) | 25.49% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.66% ( -0.15) | 60.33% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Partick Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 36.4% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |