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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Vitesse has a probability of 29.08% and a draw has a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (6.18%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Vitesse win is 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.28%).
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
29.08% | 20.91% | 50.01% |
Both teams to score 69.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.52% | 28.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.66% | 49.34% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.56% | 20.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.1% | 52.9% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.95% | 12.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.45% | 37.55% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 6.57% 1-0 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 3.68% 3-1 @ 3.48% 2-0 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.46% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.08% | 1-1 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 6.95% 3-3 @ 2.59% 0-0 @ 2.46% Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 5.52% 0-1 @ 5.21% 2-3 @ 4.9% 0-3 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 2.59% 0-4 @ 2.06% 1-5 @ 1.38% 3-4 @ 1.37% 2-5 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |