Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Dallas |
61.72% ( -0.16) | 21.95% ( -0.09) | 16.33% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 48.27% ( 0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.13% ( 0.81) | 48.87% ( -0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.03% ( 0.73) | 70.96% ( -0.73) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.68% ( 0.22) | 15.32% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.94% ( 0.41) | 44.05% ( -0.41) |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57% ( 0.82) | 43% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.71% ( 0.69) | 79.29% ( -0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Dallas |
1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.2% Total : 61.71% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.94% | 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.63% Total : 16.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |