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Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Montreal Impact

Toronto
5 - 1
Montreal

Longstaff (6'), Bernardeschi (12', 58', 60'), Osei Owusu (19')
Bernardeschi (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Sunusi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-3 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-0 CF Montreal

Both teams are struggling at the moment, but the Reds should get plenty of difference-makers back this weekend, which could pay dividends. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
46.08% (-1.846 -1.85) 24.72% (0.567 0.57) 29.19% (1.276 1.28)
Both teams to score 56.09% (-1.007 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-1.734 -1.73)46.69% (1.733 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (-1.644 -1.64)68.95% (1.644 1.64)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (-1.465 -1.47)20.33% (1.462 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.28% (-2.385 -2.39)52.72% (2.383 2.38)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.59% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (0.036999999999999 0.04)65.62% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 46.08%
    CF Montreal 29.19%
    Draw 24.73%
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.263 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.63% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.321 -0.32)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.267 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.226 -0.23)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 46.08%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.427 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.525 0.53)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.206 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.324 0.32)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 29.19%

How you voted: Toronto vs Montreal

Toronto
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
CF Montreal
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-3
Montreal
Bernardeschi (66', 90+4')
Servania (45+5')
Petretta (77')
Choiniere (18', 79'), Mabika (25' og.)
Campbell (90+3')
May 14, 2023 12.30am
Sep 5, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
3-4
Montreal
Bernardeschi (5' pen.), Insigne (7', 90+3')
Miller (19'), Mihailovic (21'), Kamara (43'), Johnston (54')
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 41
Toronto
1-1
Montreal
Altidore (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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