MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 23:19:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Monaco

Montpellier
vs.
Monaco

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Clermont
Saturday, May 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We say: Montpellier HSC 1-2 Monaco

While Monaco have not been all that stellar defensively, their attacking depth has carried them through this season, scoring the second-most goals in Ligue 1 (62) while being held off the scoresheet in only one away fixture. For as well as Montpellier have played lately, their lack of discipline in recent outings is a concern, and we believe the visitors will be able to take advantage of that on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Monaco has a probability of 36.96% and a draw has a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.66%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest Monaco win is 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.49%).

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawMonaco
40.55% (-0.252 -0.25) 22.48% (0.36 0.36) 36.96% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 67.33% (-1.457 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.76% (-1.876 -1.88)33.24% (1.877 1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45% (-2.183 -2.18)55% (2.183 2.18)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (-0.883 -0.88)17.16% (0.883 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.59% (-1.58 -1.58)47.4% (1.58 1.58)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (-0.883 -0.88)18.72% (0.884 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.91% (-1.496 -1.5)50.08% (1.496 1.5)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 40.55%
    Monaco 36.96%
    Draw 22.48%
Montpellier HSCDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.113 0.11)
1-0 @ 5.66% (0.39 0.39)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.206 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 40.55%
1-1 @ 9.49% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 7.01% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.309 0.31)
3-3 @ 2.3% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.117 0.12)
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.377 0.38)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.195 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.96% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 36.96%

Who will win Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier and Monaco?

Montpellier HSC
Draw
Monaco
Montpellier HSC
18.2%
Draw
36.4%
Monaco
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Monaco
2-0
Montpellier
Minamino (9'), Ben Yedder (90+2')
Vanderson (20'), Golovin (75')

Savanier (45'), Chotard (84'), Tchato (90')
Kouyate (69')
Apr 30, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 33
Monaco
0-4
Montpellier
Nordin (28', 72'), Maouassa (65'), Mavididi (79')
Oct 9, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 10
Montpellier
0-2
Monaco
Embolo (45+1'), Boadu (80')
Jan 23, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Montpellier
3-2
Monaco
Wahi (13'), Mavididi (32', 90+1')
Mavididi (90+1'), Sambia (90+1')
Ben Yedder (34'), Vanderson (82')
Henrique (10'), Aguilar (65')
Oct 24, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 11
Monaco
3-1
Montpellier
Volland (12'), Ben Yedder (17'), Martins (62')
Maripan (24')
Savanier (81' pen.)
Cozza (43'), Ristic (52'), Makouana (66'), Savanier (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest331610750341658
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Reims32118133946-741
11Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
12Toulouse321010123942-340
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!