Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK
CityPark
St Louis City3 - 1Chicago Fire
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Houston 0-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-1 New England
Sunday, May 5 at 2.25am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 5 at 2.25am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
11
We said: St Louis City 2-0 Chicago Fire
Despite failing to convert their draws into wins so far this season, St Louis have been a tough nut to crack in MLS, losing just one of their opening 10 games. Therefore, City should be confident of recording a positive result at CityPark, and considering Chicago's dry spell in front of goal, the hosts are likely to be good enough for maximum points in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
49.96% ( 0) | 24.28% | 25.76% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.85% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
