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Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium
Nashville

Charlotte FC
1 - 0
Nashville

Agyemang (52')
Vargas (76'), Smalls (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Boyd (22'), Lovitz (56'), Davis (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Portland
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 1-1 Nashville SC

Nashville's struggle to keep clean sheets could prove to be problematic against Charlotte, but captain Zimmerman could be key to marshalling their defence. On the other hand, Charlotte have had difficulties in front of goal, and it remains to be seen whether their recent increased output is reflective of genuine, sustained improvement under Dean Smith. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charlotte FC in this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawNashville SC
47.15% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 25.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.46% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01)50.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)72.45% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)21.44% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)54.45% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (0.046999999999997 0.05)32.87% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (0.049999999999997 0.05)69.44% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 47.15%
    Nashville SC 27.46%
    Draw 25.39%
Charlotte FCDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.15%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.46%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Nashville

Charlotte FC
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Nashville SC
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
Nashville
2-1
Charlotte FC
Surridge (32'), Muyl (40')
Maher (55')
Dejaegere (45+4')
Tavares (55'), Byrne (57'), Privett (81')
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
1-1
Charlotte FC
Williams (90+8' pen.)
Williams (26'), McCarty (56'), Godoy (73'), Bunbury (90+2')
Arfield (90+3')
Jones (27'), Malanda (89'), Byrne (90+6')
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
1-2
Nashville
Bronico (6')
Byrne (11'), Bronico (54')
Williams (39', 90+3')
Bunbury (34'), McCarty (69')
Jul 10, 2022 12am
Charlotte FC
4-1
Nashville
Fuchs (26' pen.), Swiderski (61'), Ruiz (89'), Shinyashiki (90+1')
Williams (67' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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