Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Feb 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa3 - 0Tucuman
FT(HT: 3-0)
Kociubinski (48'), Romero (87')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Atletico Tucuman.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Independiente 0-2 Defensa
Monday, February 20 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, February 20 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Tuesday, February 21 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, February 21 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
45.2% ( -0.33) | 27.32% ( -0.01) | 27.47% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 47.04% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
