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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
43.57% ( -0) | 24.55% ( -0) | 31.88% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 58.13% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.34% ( 0.01) | 44.65% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.98% ( 0.01) | 67.01% ( -0.01) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.4% ( 0) | 20.6% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.86% ( 0.01) | 53.14% ( -0.01) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.22% ( 0.01) | 26.78% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.94% ( 0.01) | 62.06% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 9.07% 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.78% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
17 | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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