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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 29, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Palmeiras

Cerro Porteno
0 - 3
Palmeiras


Espinola (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rony (61', 71'), Cerqueira (87')
Scarpa (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Cerro Porteno and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Palmeiras

Last Six:
Last Game: Avai 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Cerro Porteno 0-2 Palmeiras

 Porteno will be looking to stay in the contest ahead of the second leg, but we are finding it difficult to predict a positive result for the home side here. Palmeiras have so much quality, especially in the final third of the field, and the Brazilian outfit should have too much for their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 17.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawPalmeiras
17.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.56% (0.0010000000000012 0) 58.21% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.69% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.67% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)57.33% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)78.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.11% (0.016999999999996 0.02)46.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.6% (0.013000000000002 0.01)82.4% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.61% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44%51.56% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 17.23%
    Palmeiras 58.2%
    Draw 24.56%
Cerro PortenoDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 6.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 4.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 2.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 17.23%
1-1 @ 11.34%
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 14.98%
0-2 @ 12.2%
1-2 @ 9.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.02%
0-4 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 58.2%

How you voted: Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras

Cerro Porteno
22.2%
Draw
7.4%
Palmeiras
70.4%
27
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2018 1.45am
Cerro Porteno
0-2
Palmeiras

Rojas (35'), Palau (54'), Churin (73')
Borja (47', 71')
Moises (1'), Dudu (74')
rhs 2.0
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