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EFL Cup
Doncaster Rovers
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Lincoln City

Doncaster
0 - 3
Lincoln


Ravenhill (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kendall (12'), Bishop (47'), Scully (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Doncaster Rovers and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

Last Six:
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Sutton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Lincoln City

Last Six:
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Lincoln City

 Doncaster now operate in the league below Lincoln, but it is difficult to ignore their record against Tuesday's opponents when picking a winner here. Neither side will be at full strength, but we are backing Doncaster to emerge victorious by the narrowest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawLincoln City
25.9% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.25% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 48.84% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.9% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.98% (0.055 0.05)51.02% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12% (0.049999999999997 0.05)72.88% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (0.0019999999999953 0)34.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (0.043999999999997 0.04)20.91% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.37% (0.070999999999998 0.07)53.63% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 25.9%
    Lincoln City 48.83%
    Draw 25.25%
Doncaster RoversDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 7.67% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 25.9%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 8.8% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-3 @ 4.9% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.59% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 48.83%

How you voted: Doncaster vs Lincoln

Doncaster Rovers
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
Lincoln City
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Lincoln
0-1
Doncaster

Walsh (73')
Walsh (82')
Gardner (75' pen.)
Mitchell (90+3')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Doncaster
0-0
Lincoln

Anderson (71')

McGrandles (27'), Jackson (50')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Lincoln
0-1
Doncaster

Edun (72')
Richards (15')
Anderson (67'), Halliday (85'), Balcombe (87')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Doncaster
1-0
Lincoln
Whiteman (43')
Wright (71')

Eyoma (74')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Lincoln
P-P
Doncaster
rhs 2.0
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