MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 11:14:47| >> :600:156632:156632:
Freiburg logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
West Ham logo

Freiburg
1 - 0
West Ham

The Match

Match Report

Michael Gregoritsch scores the only goal of the match as Freiburg record a 1-0 victory over West Ham United in the first leg of their last-16 Europa League contest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawWest Ham United
47.5% (0.971 0.97) 22.13% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 30.37% (-0.881 -0.88)
Both teams to score 66.15% (-0.184 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.21% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)33.79% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)55.63% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.32599999999999 0.33)14.77% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (0.624 0.62)43.03% (-0.624 -0.62)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)22.38% (0.516 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (-0.779 -0.78)55.88% (0.778 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 47.5%
    West Ham United 30.37%
    Draw 22.13%
FreiburgDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.05% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.087 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.085 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.045 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 30.37%

How you voted: Freiburg vs West Ham

Freiburg
21.8%
Draw
23.8%
West Ham United
54.5%
202
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
West Ham
2-0
Freiburg
Kudus (14'), Alvarez (42')
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Freiburg
1-2
West Ham
Sallai (49')
Hofler (25')
Paqueta (8'), Aguerd (66')
Alvarez (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!