Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 2 | 4 |
5 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 3 | 3 |
6 | Villarreal | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 3 | 3 |
6 | Villarreal | 1 | 3 | 3 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
45.05% ( -0.06) | 27.93% ( 0.02) | 27.02% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 45.11% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.77% ( -0.03) | 60.23% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.58% ( -0.02) | 80.41% ( 0.02) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.31% ( -0.05) | 26.69% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.06% ( -0.06) | 61.94% ( 0.06) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.53% ( 0.02) | 38.47% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.78% ( 0.02) | 75.22% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 13.56% 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 45.05% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 27.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
9 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
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