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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Granada logo

Villarreal
5 - 1
Granada

Sorloth (7', 19', 66'), Capoue (32'), Guedes (47')
Capoue (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Corbeanu (90+1')
Piatkowski (15'), Sanchez (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-3 Villarreal
Friday, February 23 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Almeria
Sunday, February 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Granada

Granada are not losing matches at the moment, but their away form this season has been so disappointing, and Villarreal will enter this match full of confidence after an impressive win over Real Sociedad. It could be a tight match, but we are expecting the home side to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Granada had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawGranada
59.37% (-0.262 -0.26) 21.98% (0.136 0.14) 18.65% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.22 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (-0.406 -0.41)45.28% (0.405 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (-0.388 -0.39)67.62% (0.389 0.39)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.12% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)14.88% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.78% (-0.419 -0.42)43.22% (0.419 0.42)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.91% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)38.09% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.14% (-0.096 -0.1)74.86% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 59.36%
    Granada 18.65%
    Draw 21.98%
VillarrealDrawGranada
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.53% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 59.36%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.47% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.03% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 18.65%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Granada

Villarreal
86.0%
Draw
10.0%
Granada
4.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Granada
2-3
Villarreal
Sanchez (29'), Uzuni (34')
Moreno (18', 23'), Sorloth (28')
Baena (50'), Albiol (67'), Romero (73'), Parejo (90')
Feb 19, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 25
Granada
1-4
Villarreal
Milla (61' pen.)
Sanchez (32'), Uzuni (34'), Torrente (80')
Danjuma (35' pen., 39', 81'), Gomez (90+6')
Lo Celso (33'), Estupinan (45+4'), Aurier (60'), Chukwueze (68'), Asenjo (75'), Iborra (90+2')
Aug 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 1
Villarreal
0-0
Granada
Foyth (20'), Moreno (41'), Capoue (53'), Pena (85')
Foyth (82')
Sanchez (71')
Apr 3, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 29
Granada
0-3
Villarreal

Soldado (38'), Quini (45+1')
Moreno (9' pen., 18', 60')
Parejo (22'), Gaspar (43')
Jan 20, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Villarreal
2-2
Granada
Pena (29'), Gomez (65' pen.)
Trigueros (80'), Coquelin (90+5')
Soldado (21'), Kenedy (75')
Milla (15'), Herrera (35'), Machis (90'), Duarte (90+5')
Brice Eteki (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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