Home > Football > League Two
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Salford City | 2 | 2 | 4 |
8 | Northampton Town | 2 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Carlisle United | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Swindon Town | 2 | -3 | 1 |
20 | Hartlepool United | 2 | -4 | 1 |
21 | Stockport County | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
54.76% ( 4.88) | 24.75% ( -0.73) | 20.49% ( -4.14) |
Both teams to score 47.26% ( -2.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.96% ( -1.13) | 54.05% ( 1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.52% ( -0.95) | 75.48% ( 0.96) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.32% ( 1.55) | 19.68% ( -1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.33% ( 2.46) | 51.67% ( -2.45) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.84% ( -4.66) | 41.17% ( 4.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.3% ( -4.41) | 77.7% ( 4.42) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 13.16% ( 1.16) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 1.4) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.99) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.3) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.49) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 54.75% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.51) Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.91) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.74) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.51) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.38) Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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