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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
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Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal
Belenenses

Arouca
0 - 0
Belenenses


Esgaio (24'), Simao (54')
FT

Akas (84'), Camara (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

Last Six:
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Belenenses

Last Six:
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-1 Belenenses

 While a draw seals Arouca's safety, Belenenses need all three points to move into the relegation playoffs spot and keep their slender survival hopes alive. We predict a cagey affair with the Arouquenses doing just enough to force a share of the spoils and confirm O Belem's relegation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AroucaDrawBelenenses
45.96% (-0.769 -0.77) 26.73% (0.181 0.18) 27.31% (0.591 0.59)
Both teams to score 48.61% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.15% (-0.33 -0.33)55.85% (0.33 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03% (-0.269 -0.27)76.97% (0.271 0.27)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)24.26% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.38% (-0.73 -0.73)58.62% (0.73 0.73)
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.18% (0.308 0.31)35.82% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.4% (0.314 0.31)72.6% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 45.95%
    Belenenses 27.31%
    Draw 26.73%
AroucaDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 12.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 45.95%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.69% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.92% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.31%

Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 8.30pm
Belenenses
2-1
Arouca
Varela (73'), Camara (90+3')
Phete (11'), Sithole (45+2'), Sousa (53'), Calila (57'), Nuno (65'), Safira (70'), Tavares (86')
Phete (18')
Dabbagh (37')
Nunes (43'), Dabbagh (59')
Silva (6'), Dabbagh (76')
Feb 27, 2017 8pm
Arouca
1-2
Belenenses
Tomane (38')
Tomane (31'), Bolat (42'), Santos (62'), Velasquez (89')
Maurides (53', 58')
Silva (28'), Gomes (33')
Sep 26, 2016 8pm
Belenenses
1-1
Arouca
Camara (15')
Gomes (70'), Rosell (80')
Kuca (50')
Adilson (29'), Miguel Prata Coelho (35')
Feb 21, 2016 4pm
Belenenses
0-2
Arouca

Bakic (45'), Nunes (79'), Aguilar (90')
Rafael (80')
Gonzalez (66'), Lima (82')
Jubal (35'), Adilson (45'), Mateus (55'), Bastos (74')
Jubal (39'), Mateus (84')
Sep 27, 2015 5pm
Arouca
2-2
Belenenses
Valente (76'), Basto (86')
Roberto (91')
Sousa (41'), Leal (71')
Leal (75'), Ventura (82'), Silva (85'), Tonel (95')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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