Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
46.23% ( 0) | 26.2% ( -0) | 27.57% |
Both teams to score 50.35% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.32% ( 0) | 53.68% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.83% ( 0) | 75.17% ( -0) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.82% ( 0) | 23.18% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.93% ( 0) | 57.07% ( -0) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.55% ( -0) | 34.45% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.84% | 71.16% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.23% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.51% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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