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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Estoril

Porto
2 - 0
Estoril

Joaozinho (48' og.), Fernando (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Estoril Praia

Last Six:
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estoril
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 2-0 Estoril Praia

 Still celebrating their league crown, Porto will head into the game with sky-high confidence as they look to set the pace for their upcoming Taca de Portugal final against Tondela. Looking at the contrasting form between the two sides, we predict the hosts will come away with all three points and send Estoril Praia crashing back down to earth. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 83.4%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 5.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.74%) and 1-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.5%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match.

Result
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
83.4% (2.306 2.31) 11.58% (-1.223 -1.22) 5.02% (-1.082 -1.08)
Both teams to score 39.97% (-2.479 -2.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.76% (0.96300000000001 0.96)35.25% (-0.963 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.74% (1.07 1.07)57.26% (-1.069 -1.07)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.8% (0.65900000000001 0.66)6.21% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.54% (1.8 1.8)23.46% (-1.799 -1.8)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.62% (-2.964 -2.96)57.38% (2.965 2.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.75% (-1.724 -1.72)89.26% (1.727 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Porto 83.39%
    Estoril Praia 5.02%
    Draw 11.58%
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 13.75% (0.35 0.35)
3-0 @ 12.74% (0.77 0.77)
1-0 @ 9.9% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-0 @ 8.86% (0.837 0.84)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.516 -0.52)
3-1 @ 7.08% (-0.206 -0.21)
5-0 @ 4.92% (0.626 0.63)
4-1 @ 4.92% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.12 0.12)
6-0 @ 2.28% (0.362 0.36)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.119 -0.12)
6-1 @ 1.27% (0.099 0.1)
7-0 @ 0.91% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 83.39%
1-1 @ 5.5% (-0.591 -0.59)
0-0 @ 3.56% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-2 @ 2.12% (-0.36 -0.36)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 11.58%
0-1 @ 1.98% (-0.295 -0.3)
1-2 @ 1.53% (-0.326 -0.33)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 5.02%

Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 6pm
Estoril
2-3
Porto
Arthur (38'), Franco (43' pen.)
Arthur (48'), Fonte (62'), Pinheiro (64'), Lourenco (81'), Franco (90+7')
Taremi (49'), Diaz (84'), Conceicao (89')
Conceicao (90+1'), Otavio (90+5')
Feb 21, 2018 6pm
Estoril
1-3
Porto
Eduardo (16')
Ribeiro (42'), Allano (57'), Andrade (70')
Telles (52'), Tiquinho (58', 66')
Reyes (15'), Brahimi (71'), Hernani (90')
Aug 9, 2017 7pm
Porto
4-0
Estoril
Marega (35', 62'), Brahimi (54'), Marcano (71')
Pereira (77')

Allano (51')
Jan 28, 2017 6.15pm
Estoril
1-2
Porto
Dankler (93')
Amado (40'), Diakhite (47'), Claro (51'), Mano (55'), Tocantins (56'), Moreira (82'), Dankler (94')
Silva (82' pen.), Corona (91')
Herrera (52'), Andre (76'), Pedro (88')
Aug 20, 2016 8.30pm
Porto
1-0
Estoril
Silva (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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