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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
1 - 0
Al Okhdood

Kessie (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mohammed Saeed Al Muwallad (35'), Alberto Lobo Mendonca (36'), Hassan Mushaib Al Zabdani (54'), Awadh Al Yami (88+88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Okhdood, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Khaleej 1-3 Al-Ahli
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-3 Al Fateh
Friday, August 18 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 3-0 Al Okhdood

While Al-Ahli have hit the ground running in the new campaign, Al Okhdood have struggled to get going as they make their first-ever appearance in the top flight. Jaissle's have been one of the more active sides in the window and we fancy them cruising to a comfortable victory against the inexperienced visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for an Al Okhdood win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Ahli.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Okhdood
51.19% (-0.412 -0.41) 26.29% (0.176 0.18) 22.52% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 45.57% (-0.202 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39% (-0.404 -0.4)57.61% (0.406 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62% (-0.32 -0.32)78.38% (0.324 0.32)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (-0.34899999999999 -0.35)22.61% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77% (-0.523 -0.52)56.23% (0.526 0.53)
Al Okhdood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)41.11% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.65% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 51.19%
    Al Okhdood 22.52%
    Draw 26.28%
Al-AhliDrawAl Okhdood
1-0 @ 13.82% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 51.19%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.3% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.128 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.52%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Okhdood

Al-Ahli
94.1%
Draw
0.0%
Al Okhdood
5.9%
17
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal32293096217590
2Al-Nassr32253494385678
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli32187766353161
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun321510749341555
5Al Ittihad32156115749851
6Al Ettifaq32111294233945
7Al Fayha321110114350-743
8Al Fateh32119125351242
9Al ShababAl Shabab32118134239341
10Damac321010124240240
11Al Khaleej32910133443-937
12Al RaedAl Raed3298154048-835
13Al WahdaAl Wahda32105174357-1435
14Al Riyadh32710152954-2531
15Al Tai3287173359-2631
16Al Okhdood3285193051-2129
17Abha3285193584-4929
18Al Hazem32312173173-4221


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