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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Sassuolo logo

AC Milan
2 - 5
Sassuolo

Giroud (24'), Origi (81')
Tonali (37'), Rebic (45+4'), Calabria (46'), Krunic (61'), Giroud (90+1'), Gabbia (87'), Pobega (90+5'), Pobega (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Defrel (19'), Frattesi (21'), Berardi (30'), Lauriente (47' pen.), Henrique (79')
Obiang (53'), Kiriakopoulos (61'), Frattesi (73'), Ruan (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 4-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Sassuolo
Sunday, January 22 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Sassuolo

Sassuolo's arrival at San Siro could be timely for Milan, as the Neroverdi are one of few sides in even worse form at the start of 2023. While still short of confidence at the back, the Rossoneri's attacking weapons outweigh that of their visitors, and that could decide the outcome of a close-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawSassuolo
63.97% (-0.77099999999999 -0.77) 20.19% (0.24 0.24) 15.84% (0.526 0.53)
Both teams to score 52.85% (0.431 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.81% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)42.19% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.4% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)64.59% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.49% (-0.236 -0.24)12.5% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.5% (-0.49 -0.49)38.5% (0.486 0.49)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (0.65000000000001 0.65)39.6% (-0.654 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.71% (0.597 0.6)76.28% (-0.601 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 63.97%
    Sassuolo 15.84%
    Draw 20.19%
AC MilanDrawSassuolo
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-0 @ 10.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.42% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.86% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.6% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 63.97%
1-1 @ 9.54% (0.106 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.19%
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.12% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 15.84%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Sassuolo

AC Milan
85.2%
Draw
9.3%
Sassuolo
5.6%
108
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 5.30pm
May 22, 2022 5pm
Sassuolo
0-3
AC Milan

Lopez (37'), Kiriakopoulos (53')
Giroud (17', 32'), Kessie (36')
Tonali (34')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
AC Milan
1-3
Sassuolo
Romagnoli (21')
Bennacer (53'), Hernandez (54'), Tonali (71'), Kjaer (73')
Romagnoli (77')
Scamacca (24'), Kjaer (33' og.), Berardi (66')
Lopez (27'), Raspadori (38')
Apr 21, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Sassuolo
1-2
AC Milan
Berardi (89')
Berardi (65')
Leao (1'), Saelemaekers (26')
Kessie (61'), Calabria (71'), Romagnoli (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce37813163254-2237
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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