Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 67.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Bologna |
67.91% ( 0.11) | 19.42% ( -0.13) | 12.67% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.05% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.41% ( 0.63) | 45.58% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.09% ( 0.6) | 67.91% ( -0.6) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.59% ( 0.22) | 12.4% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.71% ( 0.46) | 38.29% ( -0.46) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.72% ( 0.43) | 46.28% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.06% ( 0.33) | 81.94% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Bologna |
2-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 67.91% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.42% | 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |