Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sassuolo in this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
41.44% | 23.63% | 34.93% |
Both teams to score 62.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.63% | 39.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.29% | 61.71% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.65% | 19.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.88% | 51.12% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.5% | 22.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.94% | 56.06% |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Fiorentina |
2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 7.15% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 4.8% 3-2 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.31% Total : 41.44% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.35% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-1 @ 6.49% 0-2 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 3.96% 2-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.34% Total : 34.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
15 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |